A Trader's Guide to Better Decision-Making for Everyone
Agustin Lebron
简介
Every decision is a trade. Learn to think about the ones you should do — and the ones you shouldn’t.
Trading books generally break down into two categories: the ones which claim to teach you how to make money trading, and the memoir-style books recounting scandals and bad behavior. But the former don't have profitable trades to teach; if they did they'd keep those trades to themselves. And the latter are frequently entertaining, but they don't leave you with much you can apply in your own life. The Laws of Trading is different.
All of our relationships and decisions involve trading at some level. This is a book about decision-making through the lens of a professional prop trader. For years, behavioral and cognitive scientists have shown us how human decision-making is flawed and biased. But how do you learn to avoid these problems in day-to-day decisions where you have to react in real-time? What are the important things to think about and to act on? The world needs a book by a prop trader who has lived, breathed and taught trading for a living, drawing upon years of insights on the trading floor in real markets, good and bad, whether going sideways, crashing, or bubbling over. If you can master the decision-making skills needed to profitably trade in modern markets, you can master decision-making in all walks of life. This book will teach you exactly those skills.
Introduces, develops, and applies one law per chapter, making it easy not only to remember useful concepts, but also to have them at the ready in any situation.
Shows you how to find and think about the “special edge” of your organization, and yourself.
Teaches you how to handle the interaction of people with artificially intelligent (AI) machines that make decisions, a skill that is rapidly becoming essential in the AI-driven economy of the future.
Includes a "bonus" digital ancillary, an Excel spreadsheet with various worked examples that expand on the scenarios described in the book.
Do you need to make rational decisions in a competitive environment? Almost everyone does. This book will teach you the tools that let you do your job better.
目录
Chapter 1 Motivation: Know why you are doing a trade before trade
Chapter 2 Adverse Selection: You're never happy with the amount you trade
Chapter 3 Risk: Take only the risks you're being paid to take. Hedge the others.
Chapter 4 Liquidity: Put on a risk using the most liquid instrument for that risk
Chapter 5 Edge: If you can’t explain your edge in five minutes, you don’t have a very good one.
Chapter 6 Models: The model expresses the edge
Chapter 7 Costs and Capacity: If you think your costs are negligible to your edge, you are wrong about at least one of them
Chapter 8 Possibility: Just because something has never happened doesn’t mean it can’t
Chapter 9 Alignment: Working to align everyone’s interests is time well spent
Chapter 10 Technology: If you don’t master technology and data, you’re losing to someone who does.
Chapter 11 Adaptation: If you’re not getting better, you’re getting worse