经济周期
Big Debt Crises 豆瓣
作者: Ray Dalio 出版社: Bridgewater 2018 - 10
"Ray Dalio's excellent study provides an innovative way of thinking about debt crises and the policy response." - Ben Bernanke
"Ray Dalio's book is must reading for anyone who aspires to prevent or manage through the next financial crisis." - Larry Summers
"A terrific piece of work from one of the world's top investors who has devoted his life to understanding markets and demonstrated that understanding by navigating the 2008 financial crisis well." - Hank Paulson
"An outstanding history of financial crises, including the devastating crisis of 2008, with a very valuable framework for understanding why the engine of the financial system occasionally breaks down, and what types of policy actions by central banks and governments are necessary to resolve systemic financial crises. This should serve as a play book for future policy makers, with practical guidance about what to do and what not to do." - Tim Geithner
On the 10th anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis, one of the world's most successful investors, Ray Dalio, shares his unique template for how debt crises work and principles for dealing with them well. This template allowed his firm, Bridgewater Associates, to anticipate events and navigate them well while others struggled badly.
As he explained in his #1 New York Times Bestseller, Principles: Life & Work, Dalio believes that most everything happens over and over again through time so that by studying their patterns one can understand the cause-effect relationships behind them and develop principles for dealing with them well. In this 3-part research series, he does that for big debt crises and shares his template in the hopes reducing the chances of big debt crises happening and helping them be better managed in the future.
The template comes in three parts provided in three books: 1) The Archetypal Big Debt Cycle (which explains the template), 2) 3 Detailed Cases (which examines in depth the 2008 financial crisis, the 1930's Great Depression, and the 1920's inflationary depression of Germany's Weimar Republic), and 3) Compendium of 48 Cases (which is a compendium of charts and brief descriptions of the worst debt crises of the last 100 years). Whether you're an investor, a policy maker, or are simply interested, the unconventional perspective of one of the few people who navigated the crises successfully, A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises will help you understand the economy and markets in revealing new ways.
崩溃和救援 豆瓣
A history of the United States in five crashes
作者: [美] 斯科特·内申斯(Scott Nations) 译者: 赵立光 出版社: 中信出版集团 2018 - 7
“历史不会重演,但总会惊人地相似。”股市的每次崩盘既有特殊的时代背景,也有相似的趋势表现。随着交易速度不断加快,复杂性层层渗透,新一轮危机正在酝酿……
本书对美国股市百年历史中的重大事件、关键人物和决定性瞬间进行了抽丝剥茧般的分析,将带领读者拨开历史的迷雾,踏上一场跨越百年的冒险,揭示五次崩盘如何影响和定义今天的美国,重塑当今世界格局,并为预防和挽救下一次金融危机提供重要参考。
大崩溃背后的故事充满了人性的弱点、戏剧性的崩溃和英勇的救援。回望历史、反思当下,在冷酷的市场面前,这些故事也给现在的投资者、金融机构和政府决策部门带来了更深层的启示:重大的崩盘事件如何影响和改变历史进程?如何最大限度地降低或消除下一次金融危机的影响?投资者如何及时识别风险的征兆,保护自己的财富?