行為經濟學
Predictably Irrational 豆瓣
7.5 (8 个评分) 作者: Dan Ariely Harper Collins 2008
From Publishers Weekly
Irrational behavior is a part of human nature, but as MIT professor Ariely has discovered in 20 years of researching behavioral economics, people tend to behave irrationally in a predictable fashion. Drawing on psychology and economics, behavioral economics can show us why cautious people make poor decisions about sex when aroused, why patients get greater relief from a more expensive drug over its cheaper counterpart and why honest people may steal office supplies or communal food, but not money. According to Ariely, our understanding of economics, now based on the assumption of a rational subject, should, in fact, be based on our systematic, unsurprising irrationality. Ariely argues that greater understanding of previously ignored or misunderstood forces (emotions, relativity and social norms) that influence our economic behavior brings a variety of opportunities for reexamining individual motivation and consumer choice, as well as economic and educational policy. Ariely's intelligent, exuberant style and thought-provoking arguments make for a fascinating, eye-opening read. (Feb.)
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism 豆瓣 Goodreads
作者: George A. Akerlof / Robert J. Shiller Princeton University Press 2009 - 1 其它标题: Animal Spirits
Review
White House Budget Director Peter Orszag is a numbers guy, a propeller head as President Obama would say. But as David Von Drehle and I write in this week's print version of Time, Orszag has been spending his time recently reading not about spreadsheets, but about psychology. In particular, he has been reading a new book by the economists George Akerlof and Robert Shiller called Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives The Economy, and Why It Matters For Global Capitalism. . . . We are, it turns out, slaves to the Animal Spirits. They have brought us to our knees. And now they are the only things that can save us.
(Michael Scherer, Time.com's "Swampland" )
In their new book, two of the most creative and respected economic thinkers currently at work, George Akerlof and Robert Shiller, argue that the key is to recover Keynes's insight about 'animal spirits'--the attitudes and ideas that guide economic action. The orthodoxy needs to be rebuilt, and bringing these psychological factors into the core of economics is the way to do it. . . . The connections between their thinking on the limits to conventional economics and the issues thrown up by the breakdown are plain, even if they were unable to make every link explicit. Even more than Akerlof and Shiller could have hoped, therefore, it is a fine book at exactly the right time. . . . Animal Spirits carries its ambition lightly--but is ambitious nonetheless. Economists will see it as a kind of manifesto.
(Clive Crook Financial Times )
Animal Spirits is a welcome addition to our Hannitized national economic debate, in which anyone who advocates government spending risks being labeled a socialist. . . . Animal Spirits is most compelling when the authors summon all the key behavioral patterns to explain vast, complex phenomena such as the Great Depression. . . . Animal Spirits . . . [is] aimed squarely at the general reader, and rightly so: Macroeconomics is now everybody's business--the banks are playing with our money.
(Andrew Rosenblum New York Observer )
[A] lively new financial crisis book.
(James Pressley Bloomberg News )
The two superstars have produced a truly innovative and bold work that attempts to show how psychological factors explain the origins of the current mess and offer clues for possible solutions. At a time when plummeting confidence is dragging down the market and the economy, the authors' focus on the psychological aspect of economics is incredibly important.
(Michael Mandel BusinessWeek )
What Sigmund Freud did for the study of the mind, George Akerlof and Robert Shiller are doing for economics. Freud, healer or fake--take your pick--built a career and a field of medicine on the idea that people are driven by irrational forces. Akerlof, professor of economics at the University of California, Berkeley and winner of the 2001 Nobel Prize in economics, and Shiller, the Yale economist who is the eminence grise of the housing meltdown, argue that massive government market intervention programs are the only way to turn fear into enthusiasm for spending and investing--the 'animal spirits' that are an essential part of recovery. . . . Akerlof and Shiller pick up on the idea of the emotional impetus to investment. With elegant reasoning and lovely prose, they demonstrate that we'll all be wallowing in misery unless governments around world, especially the in the G7 nations, help to return markets to optimism. . . . Animal Spirits is a fine discussion of the last few decades of development of economic theory, especially monetary economics.
(Andrew Allentuck The Globe & Mail )
Another contribution to the human-nature-ensures-economics-is-irrational school of thought. But, unlike many of the rants against people trying to make an honest profit, this is a measured examination of how the present crisis is explained in economic terms. And so it should be. George Akerlof is a Nobel prizewinner, Robert Shiller teaches at Yale and is the author of Irrational Exuberance, which should give you an idea of this one's approach. This fascinating work uses economics to explain real-life issues, such as real estate price cycles, to key policy problems, such as the relationship between inflation and employment.
(Stephen Matchett The Australian )
With Animal Spirits we hone in on how incentives and narratives can be created to channel the human psychological factor into collectively healthy directions, and how to be aware of the fictions we tell ourselves about how we wish the world and greed and financial security worked. [Animal Spirits] sheds light on complex issues and leaves readers with a better grasp of undercurrents and--most importantly--a rediscovered belief in principles of common sense and caution.
(Daily Kos )
The new book from George Akerlof and Robert Shiller, Animal Spirits, has been getting a lot of press of late, and quite rightly: it's really good. It's not only very readable; it also offers a compelling vision of a very different type of macroeconomics--one where behavioral considerations are front and center, rather than simply providing what Clive Crook calls 'ad hoc modifications' to the standard, ridiculously oversimplified and unrealistic, model. . . . [I]f you read only one book on this subject, make it Animal Spirits.
(Felix Salmon, Portfolio.com )
As George Akerlof and Robert Shiller show in a new book Animal Spirits, this is no freak storm. It may mark the long-awaited encounter between psychology and economics. . . . Akerlof and Shiller's book is probably the first macroeconomic exploration of the subject that is accessible to those interested in the subject but who don't have the academic training to understand the detailed argument.
(Mint )
Review
This book is a sorely needed corrective. Animal Spirits is an important--maybe even a decisive--contribution at a difficult juncture in macroeconomic theory.
(Robert M. Solow, Nobel Prize-winning economist )
动物精神 豆瓣
5.2 (5 个评分) 作者: 乔治·阿克洛夫 / 罗伯特·席勒 译者: 黄志强 / 徐卫宇 中信出版社 2009 - 7
如果你看不懂当前的经济形势,如果你要跳槽却又担心失业,如果你想买房但总搞不清楚房价走势,如果你想投资股票但又怕股市暴涨暴跌,如果你想为未来储蓄但又想现在多消费,如果你在做这些决策时想明白其中的究竟,那就了解一下什么是“动物精神”吧。它会告诉你为什么经济会陷入萧条?为什么有人会失业?为什么房地产会有周期?为什么股票价格和公司投资如此多变?为什么通货膨胀和失业此消彼长?为什么我们给将来准备储蓄缺乏计划性?为危机当下,什么样的政策才能奏效?
本书既是宏观经济学理论和政策的颠覆之作,也是期待找到这些问题答案的许许多多普通人的解惑之作。
2011年12月20日 在读
這本書有太多不妥之處,但沒時間寫書評;中文版更加無恥的是,居然還有刪節!不過有些例子比較搞笑;信心固然重要,特別在信息傳播這麼發達的今日,不過在缺乏穩固的合理的制度保障的根基下,再有信心,也是空有的
凱恩斯學派 動物精神 心理學 經濟學 美國
当经济学遇上生物学和心理学 豆瓣
the mind of the market
作者: [美] 迈克尔·舍默 译者: 闾佳 湛庐文化策划 中国人民大学出版社 2009 - 7
本书就是舍默研究的最佳呈现。他用进化论阐述了市场(经济的载体)发展的过程,然后用心理学剖析了市场内部所发生的经济行为背后的本质;市场是进化的,随之进化的还有人的行为,而这些进化的行为让市场具备了某种“心理”。舍默就是在这个经济学、进化论和行为心理三条线的交叉口,提出了一个全新的解释经济行为的方式。虽然我们还不能说,舍默将开创一个新的经济学研究领域,但在卡尼曼和特沃斯基最开始研究前景理论时,谁也没有预料到他们会有后来的斐然成绩。
Nudge 豆瓣 Goodreads
作者: Richard H. Thaler / Cass R. Sunstein Penguin Books 2009 - 2
在线阅读本书
Nudge is about choices—how we make them and how we can make better ones. Authors Richard H. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein offer a new perspective on preventing the countless mistakes we make— including ill-advised personal investments, consumption of unhealthy foods, neglect of our natural resources, and other bad decisions. Citing decades of cutting-edge behavioral science research, they demonstrate that sensible “choice architecture”can successfully nudge people towards the best decisions without restricting their freedom of choice. S straightforward, informative, and entertaining, this is a must-read for anyone with interest in our individual and collective well-being.
经济学理论与认知科学 豆瓣 Goodreads
作者: 唐·罗斯 译者: 贾拥民 中国人民大学出版社 2011 - 1
在《经济学理论与认知科学:微观解释》中,唐·罗斯探讨了经济学与行为科学的其他分支学科之间的关系。他的理论分析围绕如下中心议题展开:怎样才能把经济学阐释为一门健全的经验科学。认知科学、行为科学与经济学家的日常研究密切相关,唐·罗斯此书对经济理论与这些相关学科的理论基础之间的各种关系进行了深入探究。该书提出的一个问题是:日趋成熟的微观经济分析技术是否真的揭示了某些深层次的经验规律?或者说,技术进步在其它意义上是否也代表着某种改善?罗斯在书中把丹尼尔·丹尼特和肯尼思·宾默尔塑造为知识英雄,并以他们的思想为依托给出了一个整全性的经济理论模型,罗斯强调指出,它并不是要取代新古典主义,恰恰相反,它是新古典主义核心见解的复兴,并反对行为经济学和演化经济学的某些倡导者把新古典主义当作一种漫画式的过时观念加以冷嘲热讽的做法。
2012年5月14日 在读
似乎就沒有好翻譯;試圖結合經濟學與認知學,而非新的方法論之探尋; Dennett; 否定以內省主義、(半)人道主義、個人主義、人類中心主義、還原主義、及取消主義為經濟學哲學基礎之可能性
Don_Ross Erkenntnistheorie 心理學 經濟學 美國
谁说人是理性的 豆瓣
作者: 丹‧艾瑞利(Dan Ariely) 译者: 周宜芳 / 林麗冠 天下遠見 2008
為什麼免費贈品總讓我們買了不該買的東西?
為什麼越貴的藥,吃起來感覺越有效?
為什麼我們一再做出愚蠢的決定?
精明的商人又是如何利用我們的弱點,大發利市?
了解人性,才能做出聰明決定!
傳統經濟學假設人是理性的,一般人的觀念也認定如此。但是行為經濟學家艾瑞利以創意十足的實驗證明,人的理性會當機,並告訴你如何趨吉避兇,克制自我不理性的傾向,極大化個人的幸福指數。你自認對人性了解多少呢?
不管答案如何,本書都能為你揭開人性的幽微處,讓你有「原來如此!」的頓悟。經濟學的所有假設,都是建立在「人是理性的動物」這句話。而我們一般人在日常生活中,也相信自己可掌控一切,能做出理性的決策。本書作者經過一連串趣味十足的實驗,告訴讀者,我們的理性是有缺陷的,而且我們的不理性不是偶一為之,而是不斷重複發生。聰明的生意人懂得利用人的不理性(如恐懼、貪婪、過度自信等)來賺錢,不明究理的銷費者只能乖乖上當!
本書共分13章,分別談:供需的謬誤(我們就像小鴨子一樣,會認定一開始看到的價格,以為東西就該這麼貴)、零成本的成本(為什麼免費的東西,會讓我們付出更高的代價)、社會規範的效應(為什麼有些是我們明明很樂意去做,但只要有人付我們錢去做同一件事,我們就不那麼快樂)、未雨綢繆的問題(為什麼我們不能斷絕誘惑,控制不了體重,也刷爆了信用卡)……。
「對於人性,我們總有許多不解之處。這本書可以解答很多我們心中的『為什麼』,幫助我們修習「人性」這堂社會通識課。讀過之後,你對自己與對別人的了解將更為透澈。」
--奧美整合行銷傳播集團董事長/白崇亮
「從人類有銷售和消費的交易行為開始,因為消費者和行銷者買賣立場的不同,攸關經濟行為的理性和感性的相對論,始終就是沒完沒了,然而,經由這本書的披露,卻可以讓我們透視令人啞然失笑及拍案叫絕的兩造拉鋸戰。至於誰才是最後贏家?不妨看看這本暢銷書吧!」
--台灣麥當勞總裁/李明元
「這本書讀來令人發笑,還可讓你變得更有智慧。你將從書中看見你是如何做決定的,並因此大吃一驚,甚至開始改變自己的行為。」
--2002年諾貝爾經濟獎得主/卡尼曼(Daniel Kahneman)
The Upside of Irrationality 豆瓣
作者: 丹·艾瑞里 Harper 2010 - 6
The provocative follow-up to the New York Times bestseller Predictably Irrational
Why can large bonuses make CEOs less productive?
How can confusing directions actually help us?
Why is revenge so important to us?
Why is there such a big difference between what we think will make us happy and what really makes us happy?
In his groundbreaking book Predictably Irrational, social scientist Dan Ariely revealed the multiple biases that lead us into making unwise decisions. Now, in The Upside of Irrationality, he exposes the surprising negative and positive effects irrationality can have on our lives. Focusing on our behaviors at work and in relationships, he offers new insights and eye-opening truths about what really motivates us on the job, how one unwise action can become a long-term habit, how we learn to love the ones we're with, and more.
Drawing on the same experimental methods that made Predictably Irrational one of the most talked-about bestsellers of the past few years, Ariely uses data from his own original and entertaining experiments to draw arresting conclusions about how—and why—we behave the way we do. From our office attitudes, to our romantic relationships, to our search for purpose in life, Ariely explains how to break through our negative patterns of thought and behavior to make better decisions. The Upside of Irrationality will change the way we see ourselves at work and at home—and cast our irrational behaviors in a more nuanced light.
助推 豆瓣
Nudge:Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness
7.2 (5 个评分) 作者: [美] 理查德·H·泰勒 / [美] 卡斯·H·桑斯坦 译者: 刘宁 中信出版社 2009
想一想,你是不是跟比较胖的朋友在一起会吃得尤其多?是不是在“建议捐款数额50元”比“建议捐款数额为100元”时少捐不少?是不是明知道用不上,还是会在买家电时购买“保修延长”的服务?
毫不夸张地说,选择是人生中最重要的事。
小到早餐吃煎饼油条还是麦当劳,大到婚姻对象、个人投资、子女择校方案的选择,任何一个选择都有可能改变你的人生轨迹。
但是,我们往往深陷难以计数的偏见和非理性中,做出荒谬的选择。因此,我们需要学点聪明的行为经济学,帮助我们做出最有利的选择。
政府需要行为经济学对政策进行优化设计,引导人们在教育、投资、卫生保健、抵押贷款及环境保护等领域做出更健康、更富有、更快乐、对社会乃至全球最有助益的选择。
什么是“助推”?
不用强制手段,不用硬性规定。却能保证你同时收获“最大利益”和“自由选择权”。这股轻轻推动你做出最优选择的力量,就是“助推”。
颁布法令禁止食用垃圾食品不算“助推”,把鲜脆欲滴的新鲜水果以低廉的价格方便地呈现在人们眼前,让人们主动选择健康食物,才是“助推”。
The Winner's Curse 豆瓣
作者: Richard H. Thaler Princeton University Press 1994 - 1
Richard Thaler challenges the received economic wisdom by revealing many of the paradoxes that abound even in the most painstakingly constructed transactions. He presents literate, challenging, and often funny examples of such anomalies as why the winners at auctions are often the real losers - they pay too much and suffer the "winner's curse" - why gamblers bet on long shots at the end of a losing day, why shoppers will save on one appliance only to pass up the identical savings on another, and why sports fans who wouldn't pay more than $200 for a Super Bowl ticket wouldn't sell one they own for less than $400. He also demonstrates that markets do not always operate with the traplike efficiency we impute to them.
Inefficient Markets 豆瓣
作者: Andrei Shleifer OUP Oxford 2000 - 3
The efficient markets hypothesis has been the central proposition in finance for nearly thirty years. It states that securities prices in financial markets must equal fundamental values, either because all investors are rational or because arbitrage eliminates pricing anomalies. This book describes an alternative approach to the study of financial markets: behavioral finance. This approach starts with an observation that the assumptions of investor rationality and perfect arbitrage are overwhelmingly contradicted by both psychological and institutional evidence. In actual financial markets, less than fully rational investors trade against arbitrageurs whose resources are limited by risk aversion, short horizons, and agency problems. The book presents and empirically evaluates models of such inefficient markets. Behavioral finance models both explain the available financial data better than does the efficient markets hypothesis and generate new empirical predictions. These models can account for such anomalies as the superior performance of value stocks, the closed end fund puzzle, the high returns on stocks included in market indices, the persistence of stock price bubbles, and even the collapse of several well-known hedge funds in 1998. By summarizing and expanding the research in behavioral finance, the book builds a new theoretical and empirical foundation for the economic analysis of real-world markets.
Heuristics and Biases 豆瓣
作者: Thomas Gilovich (EDT) / Dale W. Griffin (EDT) Cambridge University Press 2002 - 7
Is our case strong enough to go to trial? Will interest rates go up? Can I trust this person? Such questions - and the judgments required to answer them - are woven into the fabric of everyday experience. This 2002 book examines how people make such judgments. The study of human judgment was transformed in the 1970s, when Kahneman and Tversky introduced their 'heuristics and biases' approach and challenged the dominance of strictly rational models. Their work highlighted the reflexive mental operations used to make complex problems manageable and illuminated how the same processes can lead to both accurate and dangerously flawed judgments. The heuristics and biases framework generated a torrent of influential research in psychology - research that reverberated widely and affected scholarship in economics, law, medicine, management, and political science. This book compiles the most influential research in the heuristics and biases tradition since the initial collection of 1982 (by Kahneman, Slovic, and Tversky).
Thinking and Deciding 豆瓣
作者: Jonathan Baron Cambridge University Press 2007 - 10
Beginning with its first edition and through subsequent editions, Thinking and Deciding has established itself as the required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. In this, the fourth edition, Jonathan Baron retains the comprehensive attention to the key questions addressed in the previous editions - How should we think? What, if anything, keeps us from thinking that way? How can we improve our thinking and decision making? - and his expanded treatment of topics such as risk, utilitarianism, Baye's theorem, and moral thinking. With the student in mind, the fourth edition emphasises the development of an understanding of the fundamental concepts in judgement and decision making. This book is essential reading for students and scholars in judgement and decision making and related fields, including psychology, economics, law, medicine, and business.
Scarcity 豆瓣
作者: Sendhil Mullainathan / Eldar Shafir Times Books 2013 - 9
A surprising and intriguing examination of how scarcity—and our flawed responses to it—shapes our lives, our society, and our culture
Why do successful people get things done at the last minute? Why does poverty persist? Why do organizations get stuck firefighting? Why do the lonely find it hard to make friends? These questions seem unconnected, yet Sendhil Mullainathan and Eldar Shafir show that they are all are examples of a mind-set produced by scarcity.
Drawing on cutting-edge research from behavioral science and economics, Mullainathan and Shafir show that scarcity creates a similar psychology for everyone struggling to manage with less than they need. Busy people fail to manage their time efficiently for the same reasons the poor and those maxed out on credit cards fail to manage their money. The dynamics of scarcity reveal why dieters find it hard to resist temptation, why students and busy executives mismanage their time, and why sugarcane farmers are smarter after harvest than before. Once we start thinking in terms of scarcity and the strategies it imposes, the problems of modern life come into sharper focus.
Mullainathan and Shafir discuss how scarcity affects our daily lives, recounting anecdotes of their own foibles and making surprising connections that bring this research alive. Their book provides a new way of understanding why the poor stay poor and the busy stay busy, and it reveals not only how scarcity leads us astray but also how individuals and organizations can better manage scarcity for greater satisfaction and success.
The Organization of Behavior 豆瓣
作者: D.O. Hebb Psychology Press 2002 - 5
Since its publication in 1949, D.O. Hebb's, The Organization of Behavior has been one of the most influential books in the fields of psychology and neuroscience. However, the original edition has been unavailable since 1966, ensuring that Hebb's comment that a classic normally means "cited but not read" is true in his case. This new edition rectifies a long-standing problem for behavioral neuroscientists--the inability to obtain one of the most cited publications in the field.
The Organization of Behavior played a significant part in stimulating the investigation of the neural foundations of behavior and continues to be inspiring because it provides a general framework for relating behavior to synaptic organization through the dynamics of neural networks.
D.O. Hebb was also the first to examine the mechanisms by which environment and experience can influence brain structure and function, and his ideas formed the basis for work on enriched environments as stimulants for behavioral development.
References to Hebb, the Hebbian cell assembly, the Hebb synapse, and the Hebb rule increase each year. These forceful ideas of 1949 are now applied in engineering, robotics, and computer science, as well as neurophysiology, neuroscience, and psychology--a tribute to Hebb's foresight in developing a foundational neuropsychological theory of the organization of behavior.