statistics
Basic Business Statistics 豆瓣
作者: Mark L. Berenson / David M. Levine Prentice Hall 2011 - 2
Berenson shows readers how statistics is used in each functional area of business. Basic Business Statistics shows the relevance of statistics by familiarizing readers with the statistical applications used in the business world, providing clear instructions for using statistical applications, and offering ample opportunities for practice. The twelfth edition has built on the application emphasis and provides enhanced coverage of statistics.
Probability Theory and Statistical Inference 豆瓣
作者: Aris Spanos Cambridge University Press 1999 - 9
This major new textbook from a distinguished econometrician is intended for students taking introductory courses in probability theory and statistical inference. No prior knowledge other than a basic familiarity with descriptive statistics is assumed. The primary objective of this book is to establish the framework for the empirical modelling of observational (non-experimental) data. This framework known as 'Probabilistic Reduction' is formulated with a view to accommodating the peculiarities of observational (as opposed to experimental) data in a unifying and logically coherent way. Probability Theory and Statistical Inference differs from traditional textbooks in so far as it emphasizes concepts, ideas, notions and procedures which are appropriate for modelling observational data. Aimed at students at second-year undergraduate level and above studying econometrics and economics, this textbook will also be useful for students in other disciplines which make extensive use of observational data, including finance, biology, sociology and psychology and climatology.
2015年7月25日 已读 书写的好...专为经济的学生写的概率统计书,虽然概念讲得不错,但有点不上不下的感觉;论严格,没casella & berger等人的书好;论入门,又不及哪些无脑入门书...
econometrics economics s statistics
The Emergence of Probability 豆瓣
作者: Ian Hacking Cambridge University Press 2006 - 7
Book Description
Historical records show that there was no real concept of probability in Europe before the mid-seventeenth century, although the use of dice and other randomizing objects was commonplace. Ian Hacking presents a philosophical critique of early ideas about probability, induction, and statistical inference and the growth of this new family of ideas in the fifteenth, sixteenth, and seventeenth centuries. The contemporary debates center around figures such as Pascal, Leibniz, and Jacques Bernoulli. Hacking invokes a wider intellectual framework involving the growth of science, economics, and the theology of the period. He argues that the transformations that made it possible for probability concepts to emerge have constrained all subsequent development of probability theory and determine the space within which philosophical debate on the subject is still conducted. First published in 1975, this edition includes a new introduction that contextualizes his book in light of new work and philosophical trends.
2015年1月15日 已读 闲书*1. 读罢只记得 aleatory & epistemic probability...
statistics 思想史
The History of Statistics 豆瓣
作者: Stephen M. Stigler Belknap Press 1990 - 3
Review
Journal of Modern History : The book is a pleasure to read: the prose sparkles; the protagonists are vividly drawn; the illustrations are handsome and illuminating; the insights plentiful and sharp. This will remain the definitive work on the early development of mathematical statistics for some time to come.
--Lorraine J. Daston
Science : An exceptionally searching, almost loving, study of the relevant inspirations and aberrations of its principal characters James Bernoulli, de Moivre, Bayes, Laplace, Gauss, Quetelet, Lexis, Galton, Edgeworth, and Pearson, not neglecting a grand supporting cast...The definitive record of an intellectual Golden Age, an overoptimistic climb to a height not to be maintained.
--M. Stone
New York Times Book Review : One is tempted to say that the history of statistics in the nineteenth century will be associated with the name Stigler.
--Morris Kline
Contemporary Psychology : In this tour de force of careful scholarship, Stephen Stigler has laid bare the people, ideas, and events underlying the development of statistics...He has written an important and wonderful book...Sometimes Stigler's prose is so evocative it is almost poetic.
--Howard Wainer
Review
Stigler's book exhibits a rare combination of mastery of technical materials, sensitivity to conceptual milieu, and near exhaustive familiarity with primary sources. An exemplary study
--Lorraine Daston
2015年1月15日 已读 闲书*2. Detailed recount and illustration of stats development.
statistics 思想史
Statistical Inference 豆瓣
9.2 (5 个评分) 作者: George Casella / Roger L. Berger Duxbury Press 2001 - 6
This book builds theoretical statistics from the first principles of probability theory. Starting from the basics of probability, the authors develop the theory of statistical inference using techniques, definitions, and concepts that are statistical and are natural extensions and consequences of previous concepts. Intended for first-year graduate students, this book can be used for students majoring in statistics who have a solid mathematics background. It can also be used in a way that stresses the more practical uses of statistical theory, being more concerned with understanding basic statistical concepts and deriving reasonable statistical procedures for a variety of situations, and less concerned with formal optimality investigations.
2015年8月31日 已读 简直就是万金油...
statistics
All of Statistics 豆瓣
作者: Larry Wasserman Springer 2004 - 10
WINNER OF THE 2005 DEGROOT PRIZE! This book is for people who want to learn probability and statistics quickly. It brings together many of the main ideas in modern statistics in one place. The book is suitable for students and researchers in statistics, computer science, data mining and machine learning. This book covers a much wider range of topics than a typical introductory text on mathematical statistics. It includes modern topics like nonparametric curve estimation, bootstrapping and classification, topics that are usually relegated to follow-up courses. The reader is assumed to know calculus and a little linear algebra. No previous knowledge of probability and statistics is required. The text can be used at the advanced undergraduate and graduate level.
Time Series 豆瓣
作者: Peter J. Brockwell / Richard A. Davis Springer 2006 - 6
Time Series: Theory and Methods is a systematic account of linear time series models and their application to the modelling and prediction of data collected sequentially in time. The aim is to provide specific techniques for handling data and at the same time to provide a thorough understanding of the mathematical basis for techniques. Both time and frequency domain methods are discussed, but the book is written in such a way that either approach could be emphasized. The book intended to be a text for graduate students in statistics, mathematics, engineering, and the natural or social sciences. It contains substantial chapters on multivariate series and state-space models (including applications of the Kalman recursions to missing-value problems) and shorter accounts of special topics including long-range dependence, infinite variance processes and non-linear models. Most of the programs used in the book are available on diskettes for the IBM-PC. These diskettes, with the accompanying manual, ITSM: The Interactive Time Series Modelling Package for the PC, also by Brockwell and Davis, can be purchased from Springer-Verlag.
Concentration Inequalities 豆瓣
作者: Stéphane Boucheron / Gábor Lugosi OUP Oxford 2013 - 2
Concentration inequalities for functions of independent random variables is an area of probability theory that has witnessed a great revolution in the last few decades, and has applications in a wide variety of areas such as machine learning, statistics, discrete mathematics, and high-dimensional geometry. Roughly speaking, if a function of many independent random variables does not depend too much on any of the variables then it is concentrated in the sense that with high probability, it is close to its expected value. This book offers a host of inequalities to illustrate this rich theory in an accessible way by covering the key developments and applications in the field. The authors describe the interplay between the probabilistic structure (independence) and a variety of tools ranging from functional inequalities to transportation arguments to information theory. Applications to the study of empirical processes, random projections, random matrix theory, and threshold phenomena are also presented. A self-contained introduction to concentration inequalities, it includes a survey of concentration of sums of independent random variables, variance bounds, the entropy method, and the transportation method. Deep connections with isoperimetric problems are revealed whilst special attention is paid to applications to the supremum of empirical processes. Written by leading experts in the field and containing extensive exercise sections this book will be an invaluable resource for researchers and graduate students in mathematics, theoretical computer science, and engineering.
Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes 豆瓣
作者: Aad van der vaart / Jon Wellner Springer 2000 - 11
This book explores weak convergence theory and empirical processes and their applications to many applications in statistics. Part one reviews stochastic convergence in its various forms. Part two offers the theory of empirical processes in a form accessible to statisticians and probabilists. Part three covers a range of topics demonstrating the applicability of the theory to key questions such as measures of goodness of fit and the bootstrap.
2018年12月21日 已读 原来是两大牛的学习笔记...怪不得这么难读...另外新版就要出了;我还是觉得Dudley 的UCLT写的更好
mathematics statistics
Asymptotic Statistics 豆瓣
作者: A. W. van der Vaart Cambridge University Press 2000 - 6
This book is an introduction to the field of asymptotic statistics. The treatment is both practical and mathematically rigorous. In addition to most of the standard topics of an asymptotics course, including likelihood inference, M-estimation, the theory of asymptotic efficiency, U-statistics, and rank procedures, the book also presents recent research topics such as semiparametric models, the bootstrap, and empirical processes and their applications. The topics are organized from the central idea of approximation by limit experiments, which gives the book one of its unifying themes. This entails mainly the local approximation of the classical i.i.d. set up with smooth parameters by location experiments involving a single, normally distributed observation. Thus, even the standard subjects of asymptotic statistics are presented in a novel way. Suitable as a graduate or Master's level statistics text, this book will also give researchers an overview of research in asymptotic statistics.
2018年8月13日 已读
Vaart的书总需艰深困苦的阅读,应该是文笔和思路问题吧。现在发觉完全是思路问题。这本书用来当reference可以,当教材极差。在第五章讲m-estimation居然reference到第十八章;然后七八章就直接讲le cam 的思路 (完全是另外一条证asy的方法);然后后面二十五章又突然跳到semipar,而与le cam的章节中间隔了二十章。作为教材写法太跳脱了。某种程度上来说,这本书与另外一本weak convergence 都是作者为了给自己写reference book的成果,没想好该怎么present给学生或自学者用
mathematics statistics
Brownian Motion, Martingales, and Stochastic Calculus 豆瓣
作者: Le Gall, Jean-François 2016 - 4
This book offers a rigorous and self-contained presentation of stochastic integration and stochastic calculus within the general framework of continuous semimartingales. The main tools of stochastic calculus, including Itô’s formula, the optional stopping theorem and Girsanov’s theorem, are treated in detail alongside many illustrative examples. The book also contains an introduction to Markov processes, with applications to solutions of stochastic differential equations and to connections between Brownian motion and partial differential equations. The theory of local times of semimartingales is discussed in the last chapter.
Since its invention by Itô, stochastic calculus has proven to be one of the most important techniques of modern probability theory, and has been used in the most recent theoretical advances as well as in applications to other fields such as mathematical finance. Brownian Motion, Martingales, and Stochastic Calculus provides a strong theoretical background to the reader interested in such developments.
Beginning graduate or advanced undergraduate students will benefit from this detailed approach to an essential area of probability theory. The emphasis is on concise and efficient presentation, without any concession to mathematical rigor. The material has been taught by the author for several years in graduate courses at two of the most prestigious French universities. The fact that proofs are given with full details makes the book particularly suitable for self-study. The numerous exercises help the reader to get acquainted with the tools of stochastic calculus.
The Book of Why Goodreads 豆瓣
6.8 (10 个评分) 作者: Judea Pearl / Dana Mackenzie Basic Books 2018 - 5
A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence
“Correlation is not causation.” This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality–the study of cause and effect–on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl’s work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why.
2019年1月14日 已读
Heckman, Rubin, Pearl的爱恨情仇啊。From Gelman, Pearl’s obnoxiousness obstructs the disemmination of his ideas. And works by economists are swept under the rug. 画图容易,但用Rubin亦可。同样的问题仍是我们有哪些x该放进来?然后如何从ate到更有意义的参数是根本的识别问题也是modelling problem,这个用图难以。另外经济学家最大的一个贡献(语出Hausman)就是sem;Pearl似乎不能领会我们为何要用sem。端看pearl能不能用dag来写一个市场均衡模型. Imbens最近写了一篇review说经济学家们不用学图论 用处不多
econometrics economics statistics 科普
Semiparametric Theory and Missing Data 豆瓣
作者: Tsiatis, Anastasios A. Springer-Verlag New York Inc. 2010 - 2
This book summarizes current knowledge regarding the theory of estimation for semiparametric models with missing data, in an organized and comprehensive manner. It starts with the study of semiparametric methods when there are no missing data. The description of the theory of estimation for semiparametric models is both rigorous and intuitive, relying on geometric ideas to reinforce the intuition and understanding of the theory. These methods are then applied to problems with missing, censored, and coarsened data with the goal of deriving estimators that are as robust and efficient as possible.
2019年4月8日 已读
fairly nice and straightforward explanation for eff semipar bound in the event that the parameter of interest can be concretely written. It is however relying too much on the restricted moment model to prove things and to some extent, skipping the elegant treatment using generic fuctional analysis methods. Bridging this book to BKRW is hard.
mathematics statistics
Efficient and Adaptive Estimation for Semiparametric Models 豆瓣
作者: Peter J. Bickel / Chris A.J. Klaassen Springer 1998 - 5
This book deals with estimation in situations in which there is believed to be enough information to model parametrically some, but not all of the features of a data set. Such models have arisen in a wide context in recent years, and involve new nonlinear estimation procedures. Statistical models of this type are directly applicable to fields such as economics, epidemiology, and astronomy.
2019年4月8日 已读
from Peter himself: "This book is unreadable, even I could not follow it now. Don't read it." 读的十分辛苦.. As von Neumann says: "you just get used to them." (即是多读几遍)应该是这领域的经典专著,van der vaart的"Semiparametric Statistics" 也可用来参考。然后还是参考paper吧... 我的进路是Tsiatis(2006)入门,然后Newey(1990)参考,然后用这本+van der vaart(1998+2002)...
mathematics statistics
High-Dimensional Statistics 豆瓣 谷歌图书
作者: Martin J. Wainwright Cambridge University Press 2019 - 1
Recent years have witnessed an explosion in the volume and variety of data collected in all scientific disciplines and industrial settings. Such massive data sets present a number of challenges to researchers in statistics and machine learning. This book provides a self-contained introduction to the area of high-dimensional statistics, aimed at the first-year graduate level. It includes chapters that are focused on core methodology and theory - including tail bounds, concentration inequalities, uniform laws and empirical process, and random matrices - as well as chapters devoted to in-depth exploration of particular model classes - including sparse linear models, matrix models with rank constraints, graphical models, and various types of non-parametric models. With hundreds of worked examples and exercises, this text is intended both for courses and for self-study by graduate students and researchers in statistics, machine learning, and related fields who must understand, apply, and adapt modern statistical methods suited to large-scale data.
2019年4月21日 已读
我校stat210b教科书,又称宝书...
statistics
Causal Inference in Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences 豆瓣
作者: Guido W. Imbens / Donald B. Rubin Cambridge University Press 2015 - 3
Most questions in social and biomedical sciences are causal in nature: what would happen to individuals, or to groups, if part of their environment were changed? In this groundbreaking text, two world-renowned experts present statistical methods for studying such questions. This book starts with the notion of potential outcomes, each corresponding to the outcome that would be realized if a subject were exposed to a particular treatment or regime. In this approach, causal effects are comparisons of such potential outcomes. The fundamental problem of causal inference is that we can only observe one of the potential outcomes for a particular subject. The authors discuss how randomized experiments allow us to assess causal effects and then turn to observational studies. They lay out the assumptions needed for causal inference and describe the leading analysis methods, including, matching, propensity-score methods, and instrumental variables. Many detailed applications are included, with special focus on practical aspects for the empirical researcher.
2020年5月20日 已读
The key distinction from the usual superpopulation causal inference is the use of "survey" sampling in Rubin (or Neyman) style causal inference. This distinction is important as Rubin stresses that given a sample, treatment assignment itself can be dependent on how others are assigned. And this leads to Fisherian type inference.
econometrics statistics
Uniform Central Limit Theorems (Cambridge Studies in Advanced Mathematics) 豆瓣
作者: R. M. Dudley Cambridge University Press 2008 - 2
This book shows how the central limit theorem for independent, identically distributed random variables with values in general, multidimensional spaces, holds uniformly over some large classes of functions. The author, an acknowledged expert, gives a thorough treatment of the subject, including several topics not found in any previous book, such as the Fernique-Talagrand majorizing measure theorem for Gaussian processes, an extended treatment of Vapnik-Chervonenkis combinatorics, the Ossiander L2 bracketing central limit theorem, the Gine-Zinn bootstrap central limit theorem in probability, the Bronstein theorem on approximation of convex sets, and the Shor theorem on rates of convergence over lower layers. Other results of Talagrand and others are surveyed without proofs in separate sections. Problems are included at the end of each chapter so the book can be used as an advanced text. The book will interest mathematicians working in probability, mathematical statisticians and computer scientists working in computer learning theory.