每个投资人都想弄清楚自己现在所处的周期位置。也就是说，人们渴望知道自己下一步应该追加投资，继续留在市场，还是应该果断卖出，离开市场。大家都知道市场周期起伏波动，然而，大部分投资人往往只想到市场周期的首层浅思维。这本书会带你进入市场周期的二层浅思维，教你看懂过去的周期规律，看清现在的周期位置，看透未来的周期趋势，获得少数赢家穿越金融危机、长期战胜市场的投资布局真经。
霍华德▪马克斯是一位价值投资者。他将周期细分为经济周期、政府干预经济周期、企业盈利周期、投资人心理和情绪钟摆、风险态度周期、信贷周期、不良债权周期、房地产周期、市场周期，并对每种周期做了详细的阐述。其中，作者总结了自己50多年的投资经验，提出了一个鲜明的观点：人的决策对经济周期、企业周期、市场周期产生了巨大影响，而人做的决策，并不是科学的。他认为，人容易走极端的倾向，永远不会终止，因此，这些极端最终需要修正，而不是周期的发生会有改变。投资人需要警惕“这次不一样”的想法。这就意味着，投资人能够理解周期，就能够找到获得高回报率的良机。

Distinguished art educator and publisher shows that violating the academic rules of perspective can be as important as adhering to them. Coverage of the picture plane, foreshortening and convergence, three-point perspective, figures in perspective, more. Also analysis of the works of over twenty leading illustrators and artists, including Pieter de Hooch and Paul Cézanne. 349 illustrations.

If you grew up with an emotionally immature, unavailable, or selfish parent, you may have lingering feelings of anger, loneliness, betrayal, or abandonment. You may recall your childhood as a time when your emotional needs were not met, when your feelings were dismissed, or when you took on adult levels of responsibility in an effort to compensate for your parent’s behavior. These wounds can be healed, and you can move forward in your life.
In this breakthrough book, clinical psychologist Lindsay Gibson exposes the destructive nature of parents who are emotionally immature or unavailable. You will see how these parents create a sense of neglect, and discover ways to heal from the pain and confusion caused by your childhood. By freeing yourself from your parents’ emotional immaturity, you can recover your true nature, control how you react to them, and avoid disappointment. Finally, you’ll learn how to create positive, new relationships so you can build a better life.
Discover the four types of difficult parents:
The emotional parent instills feelings of instability and anxiety
The driven parent stays busy trying to perfect everything and everyone
The passive parent avoids dealing with anything upsetting
The rejecting parent is withdrawn, dismissive, and derogatory

一位善于化繁为简的管理专家，一部开启领导秘诀的商业之作，一个事关所有人的成功寓言。
《新版一分钟经理人》是对经典畅销管理读物《一分钟经理人》的全新修订，世界一流管理大师在37年管理咨询公司的案例实践基础上，以寓言的形式阐述了最有效最实用的一分钟管理法，被奉为企业管理速成经典，成为世界500强企业高管的必读书。本书轻松易读简单实用，能让读者从被管理到自我管理，成功掌握自己的职业、生活和人生！

The No Asshole Rule was awarded a Quill Award as the Best Business Book of 2007.
When Robert Sutton's "No Asshole Rule" appeared in the Harvard Business Review, readers of this staid publication were amazed at the outpouring of support for this landmark essay. The idea was based on the notion, as adapted in hugely successful companies like Google and SAS, that employees with malicious intents or negative attitudes destroyed any sort of productive and pleasant working environment, and would hinder the entire operation's success.
Now using case studies from these and many more corporations that have had unquestioned success using variations of "The No Asshole Rule," Sutton's book aims to show managers that by hiring mean-spirited employees - regardless of talent - saps energy from everyone who must deal with said new hires. Such insights will come from:
- Seattle law firm Perkins Coie, which instituted a "no jerks allowed" policy, helping them earn a spot on Fortune's "100 Best Companies to Work For" list.
- United States Supreme Court Fellow Robert Clayman, who noticed that "assholes" in the highest branch of government turned a blind eye to initiatives that would curb abusive and violent behavior.
- Testimony from a former American Airlines manager about how former CEO Bob Crandall's abusive "tough love" behavior actually caused psychological harm to those he was attempting to motivate.
FEATURING A NEW CHAPTER ON THE RULE AND ITS SURPRISING IMPACT! In this new version of The No Asshole Rule, Bob Sutton provides an uproarious account of the world-wide reaction to his best-selling book. As he writes: "I didn't plan it. I never wanted it. I didn't believe it at first. And it still make me squirm." Sutton's talking about having been branded as "the asshole guy." But beyond the initial shock value of the provocative title, Sutton's epilogue goes on to detail the kind of impact this important book has had on corporate organizations and employees everywhere. His book has provided a major wake-up call to those individuals in the business world and beyond who somehow have lost sight that a little civility goes a long, long way when it comes to dealing with our fellow human beings - and leading an effective organization. This is one epilogue that is definitely worth reading.

From a renowned financial journalist who has written for Time, Fortune, Forbes, and The New Yorker, a fresh and unexpectedly profound book that draws on hundreds of hours of exclusive interviews with many of the world’s super-investors to demonstrate that the keys for building wealth hold other life lessons as well.
Billionaire investors. If we think of them, it’s with a mixture of awe and suspicion. Clearly, they possess a kind of genius—the proverbial Midas Touch. But are the skills they possess transferable? And do they have anything to teach us besides making money?
In Richer, Wiser, Happier, William Green draws on interviews that he’s conducted over twenty-five years with many of the world’s greatest investors. As he discovered, their talents extend well beyond the financial realm. The most successful investors are mavericks and iconoclasts who question conventional wisdom and profit vastly from their ability to think more rationally, rigorously, and objectively. They are master game players who consciously maximize their odds of long-term success in markets and life, while also minimizing any risk of catastrophe. They draw powerful insights from many different fields, are remarkably intuitive about trends, practice fanatical discipline, and have developed a high tolerance for pain. As Green explains, the best investors can teach us not only how to become rich, but how to improve the way we think, reach decisions, assess risk, avoid costly errors, build resilience, and turn uncertainty to our advantage.
Green ushers us into the lives of more than forty super-investors, visiting them in their offices, homes, and even their places of worship—all to share what they have to teach us. Richer, Wiser, Happier brings together the thinking of many of the greatest investment minds, from Sir John Templeton to Charlie Munger, Jack Bogle to Ed Thorp, Will Danoff to Mohnish Pabrai, Bill Miller to Laura Geritz, Joel Greenblatt to Howard Marks. In explaining how they think and why they win, this landmark book provides gems of insight that will enrich you not only financially but also professionally and personally.

1957年，《阿特拉斯耸耸肩》首次由兰登书屋出版。据说，这部小说当时已被12家出版社退稿，出版以后，恶评如潮但畅销无比，对美国大众的影响仅次于《圣经》，作者也因该书几乎激怒了整个成人世界：父亲、母亲、左派知识分子、自由主义者和保守主义者。他们贬低她：“只有十几岁的青少年醉心于她的学说。”咒骂她：“她患上癌症完全是她在哲学上和精神上犯错的结果。”在政治上，兰德是一个失败者，自由主义者不喜欢她摆出的自我为中心的姿态；保守派不喜欢她的无神论；双方同时都反对她的个人主义。
然而，与青年马克思一样，兰德也是“不怕闪电、不怕霹雳、不怕天空中的惊雷”——或许，安·兰德是美国文学史上最具争议的作家之一，她提倡自私的美德，公开为资本家辩护，而且毫不掩饰她对庞大政府的憎恶。《阿特拉斯耸耸肩》在美国的销售已达千万，被称为“自私圣经”——在书中，与《资本论》对资本的批判一样，她对空想社会主义进行了批驳：在20世纪发动机公司，实行了各尽所能、按需分配的制度，开始人们都欢欣鼓舞，觉得这样就可以人尽其才物尽其用，结果能干的人工作越来越多，懒惰的人的需求越来越多，工厂很快就倒闭了。看来，在对人性的缺点没有充分的了解时，在财富还没有达到无限充裕的时候，空想社会主义的乌托邦显然会给社会带来灾难。
在《阿特拉斯耸耸肩》中，兰德试图解决这个矛盾，在她看来，财富是人类思想力的结晶，妨碍竞争、扼杀创意、执意维护既得垄断利益的资本家是可耻的；而通过自己的创造性劳动赚取的金钱则值得尊重。
作为一部乌托邦小说，《阿特拉斯耸耸肩》描绘了一个由自私而精明的商人、科学家、艺术家等社会精英组成的世外桃源，有着田园诗般的诗意和现实社会中的欲望的满足。在这里，维系着一切的不是道德而是金钱，金钱被视作为崇拜的偶像，是自由交换和公平正义的象征，每个人都是独立的创造者和思考者。小说结尾，由于强者罢工、抛弃了弱者，世界陷入了无边的黑暗，而乌托邦里则是一片和谐幸福。同时，兰德借书中主人公约翰·高尔特之口来说明了她的客观主义哲学：
财富观——财富是人类生活的一种工具，是人类思想力的结晶。当你判断某人德性的时候，请听他对金钱的理解：诅咒金钱的人通过不正当的手段获取金钱，尊敬金钱的人则依自己的本事赚取金钱。金钱是社会美德的气压计，远离告诉你钱是万恶之源的人。
历史观——文明就是一个逐步将个人解放出来的过程。人天生便会思考，让那些叫嚣说人的思想自由在创建工业文明后便毫无用处的吃人者从大学的经济系主任的位置上退下来，让他们拿起弓箭，穿起兽皮。每个独裁者都是神秘论者，每个神秘论者都是潜在的独裁者。
道德观——你生命中的道德的唯一目的是去获得幸福，让自己得到快乐便是他的最高道德目标。“牺牲”就是为了你并不在乎的东西而放弃你所看重的。人的生命是道德的标准，在生命里，快乐是成功的状态，痛苦则通向死亡。正如你不能对大自然进行伪装一样，你同样也不能对人的品格进行假造。武力与头脑是截然对立的；枪声一响，道德无存。
价值观——人类是真正的英雄：以自己的幸福作为生活的道德准则，以实质性的成就作为最高贵的行动，以理性为自己唯一的主宰。人不应该为他人而活，也不应该要求他人为自己而活。思考是人的唯一最根本的美德，其它的一切皆因它而生。自豪就是承认你是自己的最高价值，这和一个人所有的价值一样，需要去赢得。
哲学观——Ａ就是Ａ，一个东西就是它本身。存在是特性，意识是鉴明。存在是存在着的。每个问题都有两面，一面是正确，一面是错误，夹在对与错中间的则是邪恶。
2006年，好莱坞明星安吉妮亚·朱莉爆出希望出演即将拍摄的影片《阿特拉斯耸耸肩》（atlas shrugged），并自称是安·兰德（Ayn Rand，1905-1982）的粉丝，还希望男友布莱恩·匹特出演男主角，顿时吸引了不少眼球，也使得这部在半个世纪前出版的小说又一次回到了公众的视线之中，2007年，这条消息已经得到证实，影片《阿特拉斯耸耸肩》最后确定的男、女主角为布莱恩·匹特、安吉妮亚·朱莉。
对于所有发现了《源泉》，并且就进一步扩展它的思想向我提出许多问题的读者们，我想说，我是在这部小说中对这些问题做出回答，《源泉》只是《耸肩的阿特拉斯神》的序曲而已。
—— 安· 兰德

◆编辑推荐：
★二〇二一年国际布克奖、美国国家图书奖短名单作品！
★入选二〇二一年度《纽约时报书评周刊》十大好书！
★入选奥巴马二〇二一年夏季阅读书单！
★《纽约客》《华尔街日报》《出版人周刊》《卫报》等推荐作品！
★ 科学与道德、天才与疯狂之间的界限究竟在哪里？
★ 打破真实与虚构的边界，创造出一种迷幻而冷峻的叙事风格。
◆我很痛苦，又感到很无助，眼睁睁看着我的时间观念、我坚定的决心、我的责任感和分寸感都被一并摧毁！ 这美妙的地狱，除了你们，还能归功于谁呢？请您告诉我，所有这些疯狂是从何时开始的？我们从什么时候起就不再理解这个世界了？
——《当我们不再理解世界》
◆内容简介：
智利当代作家本哈明·拉巴图特的代表作，收录了五则以真实人物为原型的短篇小说，小说文本模糊了历史、回忆录、散文和小说的边界，创作出一种独特的叙事风格。全书主要讲述了“毒气战”的发明者弗里茨·哈伯、“黑洞理论”的提出者卡尔·史瓦西、得了肺结核的埃尔温·薛定谔以及天才物理学家沃纳·海森堡等一大批科学巨匠，是如何像普罗米修斯一样为人类取火的。
◆媒体推荐：
拉巴图特将哥特式小说的光芒投射到了二十世纪的科学上，在五个自由而浮动的小插曲中，讲述了知识与破坏、光辉与疯狂的血缘关系……
——《纽约时报书评周刊》
这本书与温弗里德·塞巴尔德或奥尔加·托儿卡丘克的作品有着家族关系：一系列叙述歪曲传记，但也冒险进入想象领域。这本书里的故事相互嵌套，它们与现实的联系点几乎不可能完全确定。
——《纽约客》
黑暗而耀眼！拉巴图特展示了恐怖与美丽、拯救生命与毁灭生命之间难以割断的联系。这本书——尽管博学而令人难以忘怀——顽固地坚持将科学进步的奇迹与历史的暴行联系起来。
——《华尔街日报》
拉巴图特提供了一种修饰的、异端的、彻底引人入胜的描述，讲述了引发二十世纪一些最伟大科学发现的个性和疯狂的创造性。作品的主题是人类探索的全部动力和其中的危险。
——《出版人周刊》
拉巴图特写了一部反乌托邦非虚构小说，背景不是未来，而是现在。
——《卫报》

“韩国八零后天才女作家”金爱烂累积五年的八段人生
《你的夏天还好吗？》是金爱烂的第三部短篇小说集，共收入八篇作品。书中形形色色的人物大多面临绝境，赤裸裸地暴露在现实之中，却试图寻找渺茫的希望。尤其值得一提的是，其中五篇作品聚焦于三十岁左右的年轻女性，细腻地描摹了她们在爱情、友情、婚姻、工作等方面的心理状态，或许会激起中国女性读者的共鸣。作为韩国文坛*有代表性的女作家，金爱烂赢得了大量读者的喜爱，很大程度上归功于作品主人公的力量。

In UnHealthcare, Silicon Valley entrepreneur and investor Hemant Taneja and Jefferson Health CEO Stephen Klasko, along with writer Kevin Maney, make a provocative case for a new data-driven, cloud-based category of healthcare called "health assurance.

The Affordable Care Act (ACA), the sweeping health care reform enacted by the Obama Administration in 2010, continues to be a contentious policy at the center of highly polarized political debates. Both before and after the law’s passage, political elites on both sides of the issue attempted to sway public opinion through two traditional approaches: messaging and policymaking itself. They operated under the assumption that the public’s personal experiences toward the law would make them more favorable. Yet these tried-and-true methods have had limited influence on public attitudes toward the ACA. Public opinion towards the ACA remained stable from 2010 to 2016, with more Americans opposing the law than supporting it. It was only after Donald Trump was elected in 2016 and the prospect of the law being repealed became a reality that public opinion swung in favor of the ACA. If traditional methods of influencing public opinion had little impact on attitudes towards the ACA, what did? In Stable Condition, political scientist Daniel J. Hopkins draws on survey data from 2009 to 2020 to assess how a variety of factors such as personal experience, political messaging, and partisanship did or did not affect public opinion on the ACA.

Hopkins finds that although personal experience with the ACA’s Medicaid expansion increased favorability among low-income Americans, it did not have a broader overall impact on public opinion. Personal experience with the Health Insurance Marketplace did not increase wider support for the ACA either. Due to the complex nature of the law, users of the Marketplace often did not realize they were benefiting from the ACA. Therefore, perceptions of the Marketplace were shaped by high-profile issues with the enrollment website and opposition to the individual mandate. These experiences ultimately offset one another, resulting in little discernable change in public opinion overall. Hopkins argues that political polarization was also responsible for elite’s limited influence and that public opinion on the ACA was largely determined by partisanship and political affiliation. Americans quickly aligned with their party’s stance on the law and were resistant to changing their beliefs despite the efforts of political elites.

Stable Condition is an illuminating examination of the limits of elites’ influence and the forces that shaped public opinion about the Affordable Care Act.

★梁文道、刘瑜、熊培云、许知远联袂主编——“理想国译丛”（MIRROR）系列之一（033）——保持开放性的思想和非功利的眼睛，看看世界的丰富性与复杂性。掀开拉美百年孤独的历史真相，深入审视拉美的政治经济环境。
★《拉丁美洲被切开的血管》是一本罕见的历史记述与调查。记者出身的加莱亚诺，用大量富有说服力而鲜少被披露的材料，剖析了拉丁美洲自哥伦布发现新大陆之后的五百年来得崎岖历史，揭露了这片大陆贫穷与动荡的根源。这也许是自马克思以来对原始资本积累的最好描述。
★本书自问世以来，曾被拉美数国独裁政府列为禁书，但仍不断再版，并陆续被迻译为二十多种语言，具有世界性的影响力。巴拉圭前总统费尔南多·卢戈、约翰·伯格、法国《世界报》等推荐。
拉丁美洲，这片富饶辽阔的土地，曾孕育出璀璨文明，为何如今却成为一个贫穷而动荡的大陆，沦为附庸？
1971年，受“依附理论”激发，乌拉圭记者、作家兼诗人爱德华多·加莱亚诺出版了这部震撼世界的《拉丁美洲被切开的血管》，试图解剖拉美的病体，探讨大陆的前途。他用难以辩驳的丰富资料，以澎湃有力的悲情笔法，铺陈出这片大陆自哥伦布开启航海新纪元之后的崎岖命运，写下一页页拉美受难史：金银、可可、棉花、橡胶、咖啡、水果、石油、铁、镍、锰、铜、锡……这些“血管”贯穿了整个拉美大陆，延伸到开阔的尽头，在那里它们流入欧洲和美国的宝库。曾经的殖民主义野蛮掠夺这片土地；而自由贸易、经济援助、合资企业、国际组织等现代文明体制同样以不文明的手段参与古老的掠夺战。拉丁美洲是一个血管被切开的地区，是拉丁美洲不发达的历史构成了世界资本主义发展的历史。
本书试图揭开拉丁美洲孤独百年的真相，也让我们聆听失败者的声音：那些追求拉美独立富强的英雄和他们失败的革命。这是整个拉丁美洲悲剧的缩影。与书中所揭示的历史被官方掩盖和篡改一样，本书在出版之后不久即遭到拉美右翼政府的禁令，然而它却以几十种语言的译本走遍世界，被一代人长久地当作叛逆拉丁美洲的象征。它的论断带着时代的烙印，它的命运却已经融入历史。

A groundbreaking manifesto on living better and longer that challenges the conventional medical thinking on aging and reveals a new approach to preventing chronic disease and extending long-term health, from a visionary physician and leading longevity expert
“One of the most important books you’ll ever read.”—Steven D. Levitt, New York Times bestselling author of Freakonomics
Wouldn’t you like to live longer? And better? In this operating manual for longevity, Dr. Peter Attia draws on the latest science to deliver innovative nutritional interventions, techniques for optimizing exercise and sleep, and tools for addressing emotional and mental health.
For all its successes, mainstream medicine has failed to make much progress against the diseases of aging that kill most people: heart disease, cancer, Alzheimer’s disease, and type 2 diabetes. Too often, it intervenes with treatments too late to help, prolonging lifespan at the expense of healthspan, or quality of life. Dr. Attia believes we must replace this outdated framework with a personalized, proactive strategy for longevity, one where we take action now, rather than waiting.
This is not “biohacking,” it’s science: a well-founded strategic and tactical approach to extending lifespan while also improving our physical, cognitive, and emotional health. Dr. Attia’s aim is less to tell you what to do and more to help you learn how to think about long-term health, in order to create the best plan for you as an individual. In Outlive, readers will discover:
• Why the cholesterol test at your annual physical doesn’t tell you enough about your actual risk of dying from a heart attack.
• That you may already suffer from an extremely common yet underdiagnosed liver condition that could be a precursor to the chronic diseases of aging.
• Why exercise is the most potent pro-longevity “drug”—and how to begin training for the “Centenarian Decathlon.”
• Why you should forget about diets, and focus instead on nutritional biochemistry, using technology and data to personalize your eating pattern.
• Why striving for physical health and longevity, but ignoring emotional health, could be the ultimate curse of all.
Aging and longevity are far more malleable than we think; our fate is not set in stone. With the right roadmap, you can plot a different path for your life, one that lets you outlive your genes to make each decade better than the one before.

芭芭雅嘎是女巫，但不属于女巫的团体；她既可以是善人，也可以是恶人；是母亲，也是杀死女儿的凶手；是女人，但没有、也从未有过丈夫；她伸出援手，也策划阴谋；被人类社会驱逐，也与人类沟通；是战士，但也操持家务；是“死人”，也是活生生的人；她会飞，但同时也被束缚在地面上；她只是个“偶然出现的人物”，却也是主人公通往幸福之旅的关键一站：“礼貌的”和“粗鲁的”主人公在她的小屋前驻足，他们吃饱喝足，舒服地洗个澡，听取她的建议，带走她送的魔法礼物，然后消失得无影无踪。 翻译成更现代的语言，她是异见者、流放者、失败者、隐居者、老处女、丑八怪。她的形象依赖于口述传统，是集体创作的成果，也是一面集体的镜子。她的人生故事开始于更好的时代，那时她还是金色芭芭、大地之母。后来，她成了被驱逐的稻草人，但依然用诡计统治着人们。如今，她缩在小屋中煎熬时日，像子宫中的胚胎，或棺材里的尸身。 没有一个人带着花和巧克力，再次敲响她的门。

A clever, quirky picture-book biography of one of the most important figures of modern and contemporary artLouise Bourgeois was a world-famous artist who told stories of her life through her art until she was 98 years old. She drew, wove, and sculpted pieces inspired by her experiences, often using everyday objects that reminded her of her family and her past.Her famous giant spiders fascinate - and sometimes terrify - art-lovers to this day, but the truth behind the inspiration for these towering sculptors is not as scary as it may seem. This is an inspiring story about a young girl who became the first female sculptor to have a solo exhibition at the Museum of Modern Art in New York - a unique picture-book celebration for children of one of the most important modern and contemporary woman artists of our time.Ages 4 - 7

An explosive memoir charting one woman’s career at the heart of one of the most influential companies on the planet, Careless People gives you a front-row seat to Facebook, the decisions that have shaped world events in recent decades, and the people who made them.

From trips on private jets and encounters with world leaders to shocking accounts of misogyny and double standards behind the scenes, this searing memoir exposes both the personal and the political fallout when unfettered power and a rotten company culture take hold. In a gripping and often absurd narrative where a few people carelessly hold the world in their hands, this eye-opening memoir reveals what really goes on among the global elite.

Sarah Wynn-Williams tells the wrenching but fun story of Facebook, mapping its rise from stumbling encounters with juntas to Mark Zuckerberg’s reaction when he learned of Facebook’s role in Trump’s election. She experiences the challenges and humiliations of working motherhood within a pressure cooker of a workplace, all while Sheryl Sandberg urges her and others to “lean in.”

Careless People is a deeply personal account of why and how things have gone so horribly wrong in the past decade—told in a sharp, candid, and utterly disarming voice. A deep, unflinching look at the role that social media has assumed in our lives, Careless People reveals the truth about the leaders of Facebook: how the more power they grasp, the less responsible they become and the consequences this has for all of us.